The 13th annual New Mexico Bowl is kicking off this Saturday December 15, where we’ll see the Utah State Aggies to face off against the North Texas Mean Green.
Utah State will be appearing for its second time in the New Mexico Bowl. Previously, they won their last New Mexico Bowl easily against UTEP in 2014 with a 21-6 victory. Utah State has appeared in this bowl more often than all other teams except for New Mexico and Colorado State.
While Utah State and North Texas both posted similar win-loss records coming into the bowl game, their ATS (against-the-spread) record tells a far different story. North Texas has mightily struggled against the spread, posting an ATS record of 4-8 for the season and 3-7 in their last 10 games. Utah State, on the other hand, has been dominant all year with a 7-3 ATS record, including a perfect 6-0 at home where they’ll be playing again on Saturday.
As a favorite, Utah State has covered most of their games so far this season with a 7-2 performance. They will once again be favorites at home on Saturday against North Texas. North Texas has covered only 50% this season as an underdog.
Utah State has covered 6-3 this season when playing on Saturdays. North Texas has severely under-performed on Saturdays this season, where they’ve only covered 4 out of 11 times (36%). The two teams will be playing on Saturday for the bowl game.
Utah State is coming off a road game where they won at Boise State. The have been consistently dominant after playing road games, where they’ve covered 80% of their following games this season.
All the signs are pointing strongly toward Utah State to win and cover for this upcoming New Mexico Bowl on Saturday.
My prediction: Take Utah State -11.
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